How to beat populism: Theory validation

This post is a follow-up to a previous one on the theory of how to beat populism. Here’s the empirical validation of the theoretical points made with reference to the case of Greece. Like the previous post, this one is an extract from my recent essay “The Pushback Against Populism: The Rise and Fall of Greece’s New Illiberalism,” published in the Journal of Democracy 31:2, April 2020. Another post will follow with the lessons other countries may draw from Greece’s rich experience with populism.

We posited in the previous post that unraveling modern populism would require a chain of developments inverting those that brought populists to power in the first place. Following this logic, the line of developments leading to populism’s downfall should begin with a liberal leader who acts within a populist-ruled political system, but in opposition to it. Events in Greece during the period from January 2016 through July 2019 offer perhaps the best illustration that we have of how such a leader’s rise might play out in practice.

Continue reading “How to beat populism: Theory validation”

How to defeat populism – III

This is the third in a mini-series of posts about how to beat populism at the polls. In the first post we emphasized the availability of a liberal leader while the second post we stressed the need of establishing the leader’s authority over a party. This post is about the third requirement for beating populism, namely, a coherent and realistic policy agenda that will serve the interests of the middle classes in society without damaging the liberal institutions. As before, the empirical case study from which we draw theoretical lessons comes from the recent trouncing of Greece’s left populist SYRIZA by the liberal right-of-center party of New Democracy (ND) led by Kyriakos Mitsotakis. Let me however repeat: Greece’s lessons are perfectly portable! So, if you’re interested in the forthcoming presidential elections in the US, please take note.

3/4 THE POLICY AGENDA

Given that populism in power is an illiberal, socially divisive, and politically polarizing project, which also depends heavily on the selective distribution of state-related resources to friends and the penalization of foes, liberalism in opposition should aim at the exact opposite – namely, put forward a political project that would benefit the middle classes, who also constitute the vast majority of the national electorate.

Continue reading “How to defeat populism – III”

WHY GREECE FAILED

Published in Journal of Democracy 24(2), April 2013 https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/why-greece-failed/

On 1 January 1981, Greece became the tenth member of what is now the European Union, well ahead of Spain and Portugal. This was a just reward for a country broadly seen at the time as an unqualified success story. Within just a few years after the 1974 breakdown of a fairly brief dictatorship (the so-called colonels’ regime that began in 1967), Greece had been able to establish—and by all appearances consolidate—a liberal and pluralist system with fully inclusive institutions. The early post-authoritarian governments implemented brave policy reforms while striving for political moderation; they also kept the books in order by combining modest borrowing with fast economic growth. At the same time, society seemed to be vibrant and optimistic, with the country’s imminent EU entry promising new prospects and opportunities. For nearly three decades thereafter, and especially after its 2001 transition into the Eurozone, Greece appeared to be a perfectly democratic and increasingly prosperous European nation.[1] Hardly anyone seriously doubted the country’s continuing success. Continue reading “WHY GREECE FAILED”

The nation that failed big, and survived

Originally published in eKathimerini, 30 July 2019

Nations fail for a variety of reasons. These include geographical hindrances, harmful cultural inclinations, downward economic spirals, exclusionary institutions, or, indeed, the lack of institutions. Some especially unlucky nations fail for all those reasons at once. Take Greece over the past decade. Continue reading “The nation that failed big, and survived”

Μπορεί ο Μητσοτάκης να οδηγήσει τη χώρα σε ομαλότητα;

Δημοσιεύτηκε στην Καθημερινή της Κυριακής, 15 Ιουλίου 2019

Πάνε πάνω από δύο χρόνια που, μέσα στην καρδιά της παρατεταμένης κρίσης η οποία μαστίζει τη χώρα μας, δημοσίευσα ένα βιβλίο με τίτλο «Σε τεντωμένο σκοινί: Εθνικές κρίσεις και πολιτικοί ακροβατισμοί από τον Τρικούπη έως τον Τσίπρα» (εκδόσεις Ικαρος) και κύριο στόχο να αναλύσω εάν και κατά πόσον υπάρχουν οι προϋποθέσεις εξόδου από την κρίση και μετάβασης σε πολιτική και κοινωνική ομαλότητα. Η μέθοδος που ακολούθησα ήταν να μελετήσω τις μεγάλες κρίσεις που δοκίμασε η χώρα κατά το παρελθόν και να τις αντιπαραβάλλω με τη σημερινή.

Continue reading “Μπορεί ο Μητσοτάκης να οδηγήσει τη χώρα σε ομαλότητα;”

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